Take the parcels your active Objective marks BUY, draw a few thousand market scenarios, and chart the outcome distribution (P5 / P50 / P95, probability of net loss, max drawdown).
Objective
Conservative Cash — Florida
BUYs in this portfolio
43
Total acquisition + costs: $1,152,000
Market dials
Recession severity (0%)
Per-deal catastrophe prob (12.0%)
Cat severity (20% of cost)
N scenarios
Directional only — uncalibrated. Distributions and per-Objective comparisons are reliable; absolute P(loss) / P(ruin) / exact ROI numbers are pinned to placeholder market priors and should not be quoted as forecasts. Use the distribution shape and the right-vs-left comparison story, not the exact percentages. (ADR-021 / ADR-024 — recalibration awaits v3.)