Strategy Compare

Run the same parcel universe through two different Objectives. The side-by-side counts and headline numbers show how decisions shift when goals change.

Comparison view — directional. Read the diff as "right beats left by roughly X" and "right has wider/narrower distribution," not as a calibrated forecast. P(loss) is pinned to placeholder market priors; ADR-021 / ADR-024.

Left strategy

Solo cash flipper operating only in Florida. No leverage, no owner-finance held. Tight per-deal price and acreage box; wetlands tolerance low; FEMA SFHA zones excluded.

Right strategy

Mid-size operator. Acquires with cash + debt, exits with cash sale or seller-carried note, occasionally lends. Multi-state. Wider deal box, higher per-deal risk tolerated, longer horizon.

Conservative Cash — Florida

BUY · 43REVIEW · 295PASS · 62

Total acquisition: $1,152,000
Total margin: $1,407,999
Mean IRR (BUYs): 404.9%
Sim mean P/L: $1,126,839
P5 / P95: $882,335 / $1,353,148
P(loss): 0.0%

Aggressive Leveraged — Multi-State

BUY · 124REVIEW · 90PASS · 186

Total acquisition: $3,590,301
Total margin: $3,449,505
Mean IRR (BUYs): 57.6%
Sim mean P/L: $2,687,785
P5 / P95: $2,294,384 / $3,049,545
P(loss): 0.0%

Diff (right − left)

BUYs+81

Total acquisition cost+$2,438,302

Total expected margin+$2,041,505

Simulated mean P/L (4k scen.)+$1,560,946

P(net loss)+0.0%